PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 84%+8.5pt
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,6 k €
Liquidité
4,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
78.0% / 84.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
8 sept. 26, 02:39 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date?
PolymarketWill Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by which date?
PolymarketWho will Donald Trump talk to in Sep 2026?
KalshiWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiBank of Russia rate decision in September
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kolodiazi, Donetsk Oblast, (49.085881° N, 37.886668° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Marchés ouverts
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 22,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 643,2 k €
POLYMARKETRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
- United Russia (ER)+0.8pt100%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.1pt0%
- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)0%
+5 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- 325–33937.1%
- 340–354+3.0pt25.8%
- 310–324-5.3pt21.6%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202714%
- December-1.0pt7%
- September 30,-0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBank of Russia decision in September?
- No Change+0.5pt69.3%
- Decrease+0.5pt27.7%
- Increase+0.8pt3%
POLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-12.5pt67%
- Yes+12.5pt33%
- Volume total
- 335,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 42,5 k €
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 84% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kolodiazi, Donetsk Oblast, (49.085881° N, 37.886668° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).