PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 4 100%+8.5ptEn tête parmi 28 options
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Liquidité
17,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
10.3 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
2 sept. 26, 21:16 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?
KalshiWill Trump publicly convert to Judaism by the end of his second term?
Manifold MarketsTrump Publicly comes Out As LGBTQ by The end of 2028
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET).
- Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available.
- Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported.
- Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump publicly insult someone on? ?
- Polymarket cote September 4 à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump publicly insult someone on? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump publicly insult someone on? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump publicly insult someone on? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET).