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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

YearlyPolitiqueGéopolitiqueLatin America6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 23%
Qualite du marche

60 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

11,1 €

Liquidité

20,8 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

22.0% / 23.0%

Spread

4.5%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

-0.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes

4 janv. 26, 21:0531 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes23%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.