Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?
YearlyPolitiqueGéopolitiqueAmérique latineÉlection2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95%
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Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète4 déc. 22, 14:39 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Leftists currently govern a majority of Latin American countries (13 out of 20).
- Between now and the end of 2026, every Latin American country will hold an election.
- Will the pink tide recede?
- A country is considered governed by leftists if a party affiliated with the São Paulo Forum is part of the governing coalition, or is the party of the president.
- A majority is 11 or more countries (50%+1).
- Latin America is defined as all of South America except for Guyana and Suriname, all of Central America except for Belize, plus Mexico, Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic.
