PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
August 11 100%En tête parmi 21 options
Qualite du marche
51 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
10,7 k €
Liquidité
54,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
26.0 pt
Spread largeComments
0
Variation 7j
-22.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
11 août 26, 8:2031 août 26, 20:59
Tendances
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.