Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection29j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 72%
Non 72%Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
339 €
Liquidité
15,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
28.0% / 29.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+5.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
25 sept. 26, 22:33 UTC4 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
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- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?
KalshiWill Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
PolymarketWill Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
PolymarketIf Republicans lose the Senate and Alito has not left the Court, will he leave before the new senators are seated?
Manifold MarketsHow many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, in the 2026 midterm elections, the Republican party nominee fails to win one or more of the Senate races listed below.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The relevant races are the currently-scheduled United States Senate races in: Alabama, Arkansas, Florida (Special), Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, West Virginia, and Wyoming.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their office, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the person was elected.
- Candidates who run as independents or third-party candidates will not be considered to be Republicans regardless of affiliation or caucus decisions.