Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by which date?
0.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
2026 12%-0.5pt
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
46,1 €
Liquidité
8,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
11.0% / 12.0%
Écart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
11
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
27 oct. 25, 17:52 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.