Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète25 avr. 26, 07:04 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Gavin Newsom formally announces his candidacy for the 2028 U.S. presidential election through an official campaign launch, a filing with the Federal Election Commission (FEC), or a definitive public statement confirming he is running for President.
- The announcement must occur before 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027.
- If no such formal announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to NO.
- Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, Politico, The New York Times) will be used to verify the announcement.
- Gavin Newsom, the Governor of California, is frequently discussed as a potential candidate for the Democratic nomination in future presidential election cycles.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria