Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
3.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 56%-3.5pt
Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
301,3 €
Liquidité
1,5 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
55.0% / 58.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+2.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
13 janv. 26, 23:09 UTC3 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
- A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
- Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count.
- Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
- The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
- This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate.