KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 58%+2.0pt
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
115,5 €
Liquidité
141,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
58.0% / 62.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
13 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?
KalshiWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketRègles
If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution.
- If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
- For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold.
- For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors.
- Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date.
Marchés ouverts
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? ?
- Kalshi cote Yes à 58% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Democrats win the 2026 Senate elections in ALL of the following states: Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, AND Maine, then the market resolves to Yes.