KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 73%
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
115,6 €
Liquidité
30,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
27.0% / 29.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
13 janv. 26, 15:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the 2026 U.S. Midterm Elections?
MyriadWill the Democrats sweep the Senate, House, and Presidency in the 2028 election?
ForecastExBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Rio de Janeiro (RJ)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution.
- If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins.
- For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold.
- For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors.
- Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.