Which Senate races will be within 5 points?
7.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection1mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Iowa · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Iowa 73%En tête parmi 12 options
Iowa 73%Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
630,1 €
Intérêt ouvert
18,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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IowaÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
29 sept. 26, 00:48 UTC18 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Iowa
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiWill Democrats sweep the New England House and Senate races?
KalshiWill Republicans sweep the Great Plains Senate races?
KalshiHow many Senate races will be won by less than 1%?
PredictItWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketRègles
If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Texas Secretary of State, Elections DivisionAlaska Division of ElectionsMaine Secretary of State, Division of ElectionsIowa Secretary of State, Elections DivisionSouth Carolina Election CommissionKansas Secretary of State, Elections DivisionNebraska Secretary of StateMichigan Department of StateOhio Secretary of StateFlorida Department of StateNew Hampshire Secretary of StateNorth Carolina State Board of Elections
- The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place finisher's vote share, measured in percentage points. Zero indicates a tie. Certified official results are used, subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and accelerated-resolution provisions. For ranked-choice voting, the vote shares in the last round actually conducted are used.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Iowa
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Iowa falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Michigan
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Michigan falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Texas
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Texas falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kansas
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Kansas falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ohio (special)
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alaska
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Alaska falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Nebraska
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Nebraska falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Maine
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in Maine falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- South Carolina
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in South Carolina falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- New Hampshire
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in New Hampshire falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Florida (special)
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Florida falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
- North Carolina
- If the margin of victory for the election winner in the 2026 U.S. Senate general election in North Carolina falls within 0 to 5 percentage points, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.