PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Texas 84%+4.0ptEn tête parmi 18 options
Qualité du marché
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
162,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+4.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
29 juil. 26, 18:41 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhat % of the vote will the Democrat get in these 2026 US Senate races?(resolves in range)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?
KalshiRègles
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.