Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleAlaska 45%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète15 janv. 26, 19:45 UTC1 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 5%?
PolymarketWhich Senate races will be within 1%?
PolymarketWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races? (Kalshi)
Manifold MarketsWill Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Closeness will be defined as margin of victory.
- I chose these 5 because I think they will be the closest and I don't have enough mana to make more.
- I'm too lazy to write context, you know what elections are I assume.
- I set resolution date late because results took awhile in 2024 for senate I remember, idk I might change it.
