PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréRéglé par le fournisseur, marché par marché
Résolu: 19 oct. 2026, 18:09
Cet événement n'a pas de gagnant unique. Le fournisseur a réglé chaque marché séparément ; chaque marché affiche son propre résultat.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 19 oct. 2026, 18:06 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Fool46%
Mexico36%
Sanction36%
Nidal Hasan5%
Putin0%
China100%
Deranged / Derangement100%
Iran100%
Russia100%
War100%
ChinaGagné
Deranged / DerangementGagné
IranGagné
RussiaGagné
WarGagné
FoolPerdu
MexicoPerdu
Nidal HasanPerdu
PutinPerdu
RiggedPerdu
SanctionPerdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What words or phrases will Trump post on Truth Social in 2026? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post an image of him as a Hindu deity or priest or Buddha before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump post an image of himself as the prophet Muhammad?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 12, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.
