What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
WeatherOne-Off2mois
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Fay 37.9%En tête parmi 20 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
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≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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14,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
0.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
-0.2 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
24 juil. 26, 16:56 UTC2 déc. 26, 03:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15?
Manifold MarketsWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other".
- A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
- A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named.
- All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml).
- This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.