Prévision communautaire actuelle
October 91.7%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+36.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète19 mai 26, 11:51 UTC30 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?
Manifold MarketsWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWhich names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 110 or more retired Atlantic hurricane names by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Activity is measured in accumulated cyclone energy (ACE).
- If a storm is active across two distinct months, I’ll do my best to estimate the breakdown of ACE into the two months.
- I may ask Claude Opus 4.7 for assistance in resolving the question if needed.
- Source for resolution: https://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?loc=northatlantic
- In the unlikely case of a tie, I will use the number of storms in a month.
- In case of an even unlikelier subsequent tie, I will use the number of active days in a month.
