What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
16.0 pts (24h)One-OffWeather2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Hanna 37.6%+16.0ptEn tête parmi 21 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
78 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
11,7 k €
Liquidité
293,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
15 mai 26, 22:00 UTC1 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Where will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 25, 2026?
KalshiHurricane Fay category?
KalshiWhat will happen in the rest of September? (20 mana bonus in description)
Manifold MarketsRègles
If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026.
- If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No. If a storm named Bertha is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Cristobal is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a storm named Dolly is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 25, 2026?
- Seattle+3.0pt98%
- Providence+30.0pt95%
- Boston+2.0pt72%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 163,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 155,3 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 25, 2026?
- 80° or below79.6%
- 81° to 82°12%
- 83° to 84°4.6%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 64,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 63,8 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 25, 2026?
- 69° to 70°44.3%
- 71° to 72°30.2%
- 67° to 68°17.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 38,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 37,7 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 25, 2026?
- 89° to 90°40.4%
- 87° to 88°26.6%
- 91° to 92°23.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 36,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 36,3 k €
KALSHIHurricane Fay category?
- Category 1 or above-4.0pt10%
- Category 5 or above+7.0pt8%
- Category 2 or above-3.0pt4%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 45,8 k €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Madrid on September 26?
- 33°C+11.0pt42%
- 34°C-13.5pt42%
- 35°C-3.0pt10%
+8 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? ?
- Kalshi cote Hanna à 37.6% au 25 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? doit être résolu le 1 décembre 2026.
- Comment What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If a storm named Arthur is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.