PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Earbuds/Headphones 22%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
70 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,1 k €
Liquidité
23,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.8 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
13
Variation 7j
+1.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
30 janv. 26, 16:54 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released.
- If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes".
- The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? · Earbuds/Headphones 20%
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
- Above 72.5%96%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 63,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 63,6 k €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-2.8pt68.6%
- ChatGPT-0.4pt15.7%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,5 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,85%
- December 31,-3.5pt84%
- November 30,-2.0pt76%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
- 1510+45.5pt100%
- 1520-9.9pt81%
- 1530-0.1pt4%
+2 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude89.9%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT1.8%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 27,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4 k €
- Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote Earbuds/Headphones à 22% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Où What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.