PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 97%-0.7pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.2% / 3.9%
Écart
2.7 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
11 août 26, 12:29 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the United States requiring the Brazilian diplomat to leave the United States, including a declaration of persona non grata.
- Revocation of a diplomat’s visa or denial of entry to the United States will not alone suffice.
- An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 97% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States expels a Brazilian diplomat stationed in the United States between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.