Probabilité implicite actuelle
<105 55.7%+17.0ptEn tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,4 k €
Liquidité
83,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+45.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
11 août 26, 13:27 UTC13 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: V Vote Share?
PolymarketSwedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
KalshiIsrael election: Which party will win the most seats?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiRègles
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) as a result of this election.
- Seats will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the Swedish Social Democratic Party, officially registered as Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna (S).
- Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
- If S formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.