KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 43.5%En tête parmi 5 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 43.5%Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
17 €
Intérêt ouvert
35,7 k $US
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
6 mai 26, 23:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhat will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
Manifold MarketsJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketWho will John Fetterman endorse or suggest voting for in the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoOffice of the Clerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesBloomberg NewsNBCthe Secretary of the Senate
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Aug 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.