PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
4.1% 31.3%En tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
99,3 €
Liquidité
17,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
4 sept. 26, 16:35 UTC2 oct. 26, 08:30 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mexico unemployment rate in August
KalshiChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiAustralia unemployment rate in August
KalshiWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in September 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.6% in September 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Sep 2026? · Exactly 4.1% 31%
Marchés ouverts
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 323,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 523 k €
- Volume 24h
- 22 k €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume total
- 611,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 10,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,5 k €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume total
- 2,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 7,7 k €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour September Unemployment Rate ?
- Polymarket cote 4.1% à 31% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand September Unemployment Rate sera-t-il résolu ?
- September Unemployment Rate doit être résolu le 2 octobre 2026.
- Comment September Unemployment Rate est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
- Où September Unemployment Rate est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.