PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
No release by November 30 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Référence enregistrée
No release by November 30 45%En tête parmi 29 options
No release by November 30 45%Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,2 k €
Liquidité
13,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneIntérêt ouvert
1,1 k $US
Achat / Vente
— / —
No release by November 30Écart
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Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
3 nov. 26, 21:02 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · No release by November 30
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date?
PolymarketWill Meta release Muse Spark 1.4 (or any higher-numbered Muse Spark) by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
LimitlessRègles
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
