New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by which date?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection7mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
June 30, · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Référence enregistrée
June 30, 61%En tête parmi 3 options
June 30, 61%Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Liquidité
5,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneIntérêt ouvert
650,4 $US
Achat / Vente
— / —
June 30,Écart
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Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 30 minutes
5 nov. 26, 02:12 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
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- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · June 30,
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Senate confirm James Sullivan as a federal judge?
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Manifold MarketsWill any US federal judge be impeached in 2026?
PredictItWill a federal judge be impeached in the US 2026?
FutuurFederal judge charged with treason/sedition before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
- Acting officials serving in these roles are not included.
- The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
- Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify.