PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 20 sept. 2026, 21:22 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Republican 0-3% 29%+9.1ptEn tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
47 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
47,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
6.5 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
5 août 26, 16:38 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Montana Senate Election Winner
PolymarketMontana Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 Montana senate election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Montana Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
The 2026 Montana Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively.
- Independent candidates will not represent options for either party.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Montana Senate margin of victory · Alme, 5+ pts 82%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
- What will Trump say this week?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory ?
- Polymarket cote Republican 0-3% à 29% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory sera-t-il résolu ?
- Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 Montana Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Où Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.