PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
450K-500K 44.2%-0.8ptEn tête parmi 7 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
52,3 €
Liquidité
16,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
18 août 26, 14:12 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Montana Senate Election Winner
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 Montana Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Montana senate election?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Manifold MarketsMontana Senate Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketMontana Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 résultats de plus
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Montana Senate Election: Turnout ?
- Polymarket cote 450K-500K à 44% au 20 septembre 2026.
- Quand Montana Senate Election: Turnout sera-t-il résolu ?
- Montana Senate Election: Turnout doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Montana Senate Election: Turnout est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana.