Probabilité implicite actuelle
Under 83%+9.5pt
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
612,7 €
Liquidité
6,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
15.0% / 19.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-23.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
20 août 26, 18:33 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: CDU vote share?
KalshiWhich party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
FutuurMecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: BSW vote share?
KalshiRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if CDU wins at least 10% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if CDU wins less than 10% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.