KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréRéglé par le fournisseur, marché par marché
Résolu: 30 sept. 2026, 18:38
Cet événement n'a pas de gagnant unique. Le fournisseur a réglé chaque marché séparément ; chaque marché affiche son propre résultat.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 30 sept. 2026, 18:35 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
At least 5%1%
At least 7%1%
At least 9%1%
At least 13%1%
At least 11%1%
At least 5%Perdu
At least 7%Perdu
At least 9%Perdu
At least 11%Perdu
At least 13%Perdu
Marchés Associés
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Règles archivées au niveau de l'événement. Les conditions exactes de chaque résultat ne sont plus disponibles.
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by CDU in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
- The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow.
- If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
