KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
At least 30% · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
At least 30% 95.5%En tête parmi 8 options
At least 30% 95.5%Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
218,6 €
Intérêt ouvert
8,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
— / —
At least 30%Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
21 sept. 26, 18:30 UTC25 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · At least 30%
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?
PolymarketIsrael Election: The Joint List vote share?
PolymarketSerbian parliamentary election winner?
KalshiSerbian parliamentary election: voter turnout
KalshiNew South Wales Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketNew South Wales Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 42% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (RIK)
- The value is the Student List - Students Win percentage of valid votes in Serbia’s October 25, 2026 parliamentary election. It is calculated as 100 × the list’s vote count divided by the total valid-ballot count in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places, with exact halfway values rounded up. Preliminary or partial tallies do not qualify. A displayed percentage calculated using all ballots cast is not used; invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from this market’s denominator. This explicitly selects the nationwide general report under POLITICALSTAT’s release-selection provision. Later revisions, corrections or updates to that report do not affect resolution. If no qualifying report is released by expiration, the contract’s last-fair-price rule applies.
Règles de chaque résultat
- At least 30%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 30% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 34%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 34% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 38%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 38% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 42%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 42% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 46% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 50%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 50% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 54%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 54% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58%
- If the Student List - Students Win share of valid votes in RIK’s first non-preliminary nationwide general report covering all polling stations, rounded to two decimal places is at least 58% in the October 25, 2026 Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.