KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
SNS-led list 82.2%+7.0ptAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
648,5 €
Liquidité
1,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
79.0% / 85.0%
Écart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
29 juin 26, 16:30 UTC30 juin 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
PolymarketSwedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiSwedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiNext Greek Parliamentary Election: Party Winner
PolymarketWho will be elected Prime Minister following the next Greek parliamentary election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kyriakos Mitsotakis be leader of New Democracy going into the next Greek parliamentary election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Republic Electoral Commission
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS).
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Serbian parliamentary election winner? ?
- Kalshi cote SNS-led list à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Serbian parliamentary election winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Serbian parliamentary election winner? doit être résolu le 30 juin 2027.
- Comment Serbian parliamentary election winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.