KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune activité de trading
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 07:07 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Labor 0%En tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
29 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
8.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
8 sept. 26, 23:00 UTC28 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Labor following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Victorian Electoral Commission
- Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested.
- A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes.
- In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally.
- If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. Unlisted parties or groupings count toward rankings and the tie denominator; if only unlisted parties occupy third place, all listed markets resolve to No.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place? ?
- Kalshi cote Labor à 0% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place? doit être résolu le 28 novembre 2026.
- Comment Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the third-most total seats in the Victorian Legislative Assembly are held by Labor following the 2026 Victorian state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Victoria parliamentary election: 3rd place? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.