Probabilité implicite actuelle
Labor 76.5%-11.5ptEn tête parmi 4 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
56 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
271,1 €
Liquidité
8,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-8.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
20 août 26, 09:36 UTC28 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketVictoria Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketVictoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
KalshiMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSwedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiIsraeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiRègles
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition.
- Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
- Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place ?
- Polymarket cote Labor à 77% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place doit être résolu le 28 novembre 2026.
- Comment Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.