Probabilité implicite actuelle
One Nation 71%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
15,9 €
Liquidité
52,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
20 août 26, 09:36 UTC28 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the third-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition.
- Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
- Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Marchés ouverts
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- J.D. Vance50%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place ?
- Polymarket cote One Nation à 71% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place doit être résolu le 28 novembre 2026.
- Comment Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
- Où Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.