PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
New Zealand First Party 53.3%-5.5ptEn tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
71 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,1 k €
Liquidité
41 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
29 avr. 26, 23:59 UTC7 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
Manifold MarketsFollowing the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Election: Turnout
PolymarketNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketNew Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsRègles
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name.
Marchés ouverts
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New Zealand Election: 3rd Place ?
- Polymarket cote New Zealand First Party à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand New Zealand Election: 3rd Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- New Zealand Election: 3rd Place doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2026.
- Comment New Zealand Election: 3rd Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.