Probabilité implicite actuelle
Under 52.5%-5.0pt
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
161,3 €
Liquidité
578,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
31.0% / 64.0%
Écart
33.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+40.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
20 août 26, 18:33 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
FutuurMecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
KalshiAfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if BSW wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “Under” if BSW wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.