KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleAfD 80.4%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
10,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
12.0% / 17.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
1 juin 26, 21:0020 sept. 27, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
SPD16%
Comparer les plateformes· AfD
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global88% de correspondance · vérifié | Élevée | 83% | 0pt | 5 k € | 137,4 k € | il y a 11 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Faible | 86% | +3pt | 0 € | 10,7 k € | il y a 11 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
1.0 pts1mo
-1.0pt83%
+0.5pt17%
0%
+21 résultats de plus
82 • Haute qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total373,9 k €
Volume 24h5 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If SPD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$3004 juil.11j de données21 juil.
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If SPD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes.