Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 96.3%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
17 oct. 25, 06:04 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
PolymarketWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?
KalshiCDU above 5% in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?
FutuurIf nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Absolute majority = majority of seats, allowing for a single-party government
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Absolute majority = majority of seats, allowing for a single-party government