Alerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 8 sept. 2026, 23:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
October 31 4%+0.6pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
- / 0.1%
Commentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
7 juil. 26, 23:26 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Marine Le Pen wins the French election in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRichmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketNicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketDrummond–Bois-Francs Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketWill Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
Manifold MarketsMarine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen’s departure as Member of the National Assembly of France from the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Marine Le Pen, the National Assembly of France, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Le Pen has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Member of the National Assembly of France from the 11th constituency of Pas-de-Calais.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).