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Données au 9 sept. 2026, 01:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Coalition including ODM 97%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
846,4 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
16 juil. 25, 14:00 UTC30 août 28, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketVanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketRichmond Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
PolymarketQuebec National Assembly election winner?
KalshiZambia National Assembly election winner?
KalshiParti Québécois majority in Quebec's National Assembly?
KalshiRègles
If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC)
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Kenyan National Assembly winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Coalition including ODM à 97% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Kenyan National Assembly winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Kenyan National Assembly winner? doit être résolu le 30 août 2028.
- Comment Kenyan National Assembly winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the winner of the next Kenyan National Assembly election is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.