PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
2027 28%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
369,9 €
Liquidité
2,1 k €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-21.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
30 juil. 26, 20:011 janv. 28, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Leopold Aschenbrenner between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.