Probabilité implicite actuelle
2026 28%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
61,9 €
Liquidité
5,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
0.2% / 0.6%
Spread
200.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-1.8%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
11 oct. 25, 1:4731 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Résultat choisi
202628%
Marchés Associés
Starmer out before July?
9,2 k €Oui: 17%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
France United Left Primary Winner
2,5 k €Canceled: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
1,1 k €December 31,: 32%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?
638,2 €PSD: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich UK party will next take a decisive second place in the polls?
194,8 €Conservatives: 28.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
143,2 €2024: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister.
- He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition.
- On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.