Probabilité implicite actuelle
July 27 50%
July 27 50%Qualité du marché
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
589,6 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
7
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
KalshiNuñez out as French Interior Minister by which date?
PolymarketWill Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu remain Prime Minister until the end of Macron's term?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of New Zealand?
PolymarketRègles
If Sébastien Lecornu ceases to hold the office of Prime Minister of France for any period of time between the opening and ending dates specified in the market’s details, that market will resolve to "Yes".
- An official announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation or removal before the deadline resolves the market to "Yes" immediately, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal takes effect.
- Once the condition is first met, resolution is final and irrevocable, even if he is subsequently reappointed.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- The Primary Designated Sources are official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the Government of France (gouvernement.fr) and the Élysée.
- If needed, a consensus of credible reporting by news outlets will be used, honoring the spirit of the market.