Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉchecsÉlectionSport1mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesPrix non significatif
Données au 22 oct. 2026, 05:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Milieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jul 1, 2027 94%En tête parmi 5 options
Before Jul 1, 2027 94%Qualité du marché
31 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
0 $US
Intérêt ouvert inconnuAchat / Vente
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Before Jul 1, 2027Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
21 oct. 26, 20:05 UTC1 déc. 26, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jul 1, 2027
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Gouvernement de la République françaisePrésidence de la Républiquethe Journal officiel de la République françaiseReutersthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Postthe New York TimesPoliticoCNNFox News
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A resignation tendered by Sébastien Lecornu counts when it is announced or tendered. This includes the resignation of the Government that Article 50 of the French Constitution requires after the Assemblée nationale adopts a motion of censure or withholds its confidence, and the customary resignation of the Government after a presidential election. It counts even if he continues to handle current affairs until a successor is named, and even if he is named Prime Minister again afterwards. The following do NOT resolve this market to YES: A statement that Sébastien Lecornu is not a candidate in the 2027 presidential election, or that governments customarily resign after a presidential election, unless it also says he will leave office. A motion of censure or a confidence vote that the Assemblée nationale does not adopt. A dissolution of the Assemblée nationale, on its own. A resignation that the President declines, so that the Government's functions do not end. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before May 1, 2027
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Sébastien Lecornu leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of France before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.