Before Nov 1, 2026
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Non · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Non 87.5%
Non 87.5%Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
794,2 €
Intérêt ouvert
1,7 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
NonÉcart
—
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
19 oct. 26, 15:50 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Non
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
—
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?
KalshiNuñez out as French Interior Minister by which date?
PolymarketDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Serbia?
PolymarketRègles
La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
Règlement via:Ministère de l'IntérieurPrésidence de la RépubliqueThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersthe Journal officiel de la République françaiseCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A resignation offer counts only if its acceptance, or Laurent Nuñez's statement that he is leaving regardless, is announced before Nov 1, 2026; the Oct 18, 2026 offer that President Macron declined on Oct 19 does not count unless its acceptance is announced before then. A collective resignation of the government does not count while he continues to serve, including for current affairs. His departure counts once it is announced that he will not continue as Interior Minister, including a move to another ministry. A statement that he will stay until the government formed after the 2027 presidential election, including that he will not serve in that government, does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Règles de chaque résultat
- No
- La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.
- Yes
- La règle exacte de ce résultat n'est pas disponible.