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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

One-OffPolitiqueChina6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 7%
Qualite du marche

40 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

14,5 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-1.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes

7 janv. 26, 21:0331 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes7%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
  • If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.