Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 1 sept. 2026, 18:30 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 96%
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
10,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
3.7% / 3.8%
Écart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
7
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 26, 21:0331 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 96% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).