PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 82%+0.2pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
82,2 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
3.2% / 32.8%
Écart
29.6 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+0.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
26 nov. 25, 00:36 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024.
- You can read more about that here: https://www.tps.ca/media-centre/news-releases/64641/.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aguiar is convicted of the sexual assault offense he is currently charged with by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If this charge ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgment is rendered by a court, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market will resolve according to the first official judgment rendered regarding this charge.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Justin Aguiar was recently arrested and charged with sexual assault by the Toronto Police Service after an investigation of an alleged sexual assault in 2024.