Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92%
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 52 minutes
En retard21 avr. 23, 19:31 UTC1 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Justin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
PolymarketIn which year before 2031 will it be legal to purchase an assault weapon in Washington State?
Manifold MarketsWill Washington state decriminalize ALL psychedelics by 2026?
Manifold MarketsNCAA Football: Washington State 2026 Win Total
PolymarketWashington State vs. Kansas State
PolymarketWashington State vs Kansas State
GeminiRègles
HB 1240 has been delivered to the governor to be signed and will likely be signed into law by the governor soon.
- Throughout the legislative process, many legislators have insisted that it is a waste of time because it is clearly unconstitutional.
- Will the courts agree with these legislators?
- Market will resolve yes if the court rules the law unconstitutional.
- If only part of the bill is ruled unconstitutional, but enough of the law remains that an AR-15 is not legally purchasable within Washington, I will not consider the law to have been struck down.
- This market will resolve No if either no challenge is brought to the law by the end of this year or if after all appeals are exhausted (either after a Supreme Court decision has been made, the Supreme Court decides not to hear the case, or if the decision by a lower court is not appealed to the Supreme Court) enough of the law remains in place that an AR-15 is not legally purchasable within Washington.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : HB 1240 has been delivered to the governor to be signed and will likely be signed into law by the governor soon.