In which year before 2031 will it be legal to purchase an assault weapon in Washington State?
One-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNot before 2031 44.8%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard15 juil. 23, 17:39 UTC1 janv. 31, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down?
Manifold MarketsWill psilocybin be legal to sell in SF by 2030?
Manifold MarketsJustin Aguiar convicted of sexual assault before 2027?
PolymarketWashington State vs. Kansas State
PolymarketWashington State vs Kansas State
GeminiNCAA Football: Washington State 2026 Win Total
PolymarketRègles
This question resolves to the year in which it becomes legal for a non-felon to purchase and then posess >90% of the firearms specifically listed in Section 2.2.i of WA Substitute House Bill 1240: https://lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov/biennium/2023-24/Pdf/Bills/House%20Passed%20Legislature/1240-S.PL.pdf#page=1.
- If purchase/posession is delayed >14 days, this resolves no.
- If purchase/posession requires special licensure, this resolves no.
- If purchase/posession is capped at any number, this resolves no.
- If purchase/posession is not legal by 2030, this resolves "Not before 2030".
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In which year before 2031 will it be legal to purchase an assault weapon in Washington State? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Not before 2031 à 45% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand In which year before 2031 will it be legal to purchase an assault weapon in Washington State? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In which year before 2031 will it be legal to purchase an assault weapon in Washington State? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.
- Comment In which year before 2031 will it be legal to purchase an assault weapon in Washington State? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves to the year in which it becomes legal for a non-felon to purchase and then posess >90% of the firearms specifically listed in Section 2.2.i of WA Substitute House Bill 1240: https://lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov/biennium/2023-24/Pdf/Bills/House%20Passed%20Legislature/1240-S.PL.pdf#page=1.