PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle4.3% 40%En tête parmi 9 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
38,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
0.4% / 5.3%
Spread
1225.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.6%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
2 juil. 26, 22:447 août 26, 8:30
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
4.3%40%
Comparer les plateformes· 4.3%
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
2.0%12j
-2.0%38%
-2.0%29%
14%
+20 résultats de plus
60 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total35,2 k €
Volume 24h142,4 €
KALSHI
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Will the July 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%?
12j
93.1%
6.9%
Prévision communautaire8 prévisionnistesType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for July 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$335 juil.21j de données25 juil.
Marchés Associés
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
10,8 k €Above 3.4%: 31%KALSHI
KALSHI
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
3,9 k €0-1%: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Recession this year?
3,2 k €Oui: 11%KALSHI
KALSHI
2026: Trump's dream year?
1,8 k €Oui: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,6 k €Soft Landing: 60%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US recession by end of 2026?
467,7 €Oui: 12%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Règles
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for July 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.